SUDAN INSIGHT ALERT: Conversation – Sudan’s generals have torn up the transition playbook. But don’t count out the masses,

26/10/2021: Conversation –  Sudan’s generals have torn up the transition playbook. But don’t count out the masses, by David Kiwuwa

David Kiwuwa, Associate Professor of International Studies at the University of Nottingham, acknowledges Sudanese public frustrations with the civilian government, but calls for “compromise and principled political goodwill to realise a difficult transition,” even though it may entail setbacks.

Kiwuwa argues that the outcome of the military coup in Sudan hinges upon the following factors.

Firstly, the military’s ability to use force will dictate their capacity to change the terms of the transition. Secondly, whether the military can harness popular public support, which “appears to be a tall order”. Thirdly, the ability of the Sudanese mobilise against military authorities, which toppled previous military governments in 1964, 1985 and 2019.