SUDAN INSIGHT ALERT: Reuters - Analysis-Sudan's Military Leaders Could Face Isolation After Coup
Reuters suggest that the military’s coup may backfire, with a diplomat saying that army chief Abdulfattah al-Burhan “does not have a clean path to form a government in the way that he wanted”.
With the military drawing on loyalists from the regime of former leader Omar al-Bashir, the release and re-arrest of the former head of the National Congress Party, Ibrahim Ghandour, suggests confusion over this strategy.
Suliman Baldo of the Sentry suggests the government may run Sudan on cash flows from gold sales and try create "alternative facts" through the state media and social media campaigns, although the international community may balk at the regional consequences of al-Burhan aggressively targeting protesters.
Sudan expert Alex de Waal said al-Burhan and his backers lack “the capacity or the cohesion among themselves to mount an intensive crackdown,” with the UAE and Saudi Arabia not having pockets deep enough to “bail Sudan”.