SUDAN INSIGHT ALERT: BBC News - What next for Sudan and its 'master manipulator' Omar al-Bashir?
11/4/19: BBC News – What next for Sudan and its ‘master manipulator’ Omar al-Bashir?, by Alex De Waal
In an analysis of potential consequences from Sudan’s ongoing crisis, Alex De Waal, the director of the World Peace Foundation at Tufts University, highlights fears of the regime and its opponents.
De Waal argues that the regime is keen to avoid a massacre, which would lead to a “deafening” clamour for accountability from the international community, thereby increasing pressure on Al Bashir given his outstanding ICC arrest warrant.
De Waal raises the possibility of a civil war developing, citing Sudan’s divided security apparatus, whereby different militias have their own separate commands and links to foreign countries. De Waal argues that the fear of recreating the chaos of Yemen, Syria and Libya is leading western powers to cautiously focus on stability.